Expected value

The expected value of a random variable is its long-run average value, obtained by weighting each possible value by its probability. It does not necessarily correspond to a value that can actually be observed. It is used to assess an average gain, an expected cost, or to compare risky options.

Example

Gain of 10 with probability 0.2 and 0 otherwise: expected value = 10 x 0.2 = 2.

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